Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Jefferson, AR · ZIP 71603 · Census Tract 05069002103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$152K
Downside (P10)
$128K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$156K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$207K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $81K | $75K | $87K | $90K | $88K | $98K | $109K | $113K | $151K | $152K | $154K | $158K | $156K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$67,357 | -$70,357 | -$76,557 | -$64,757 | -$61,657 | -$63,157 | -$53,557 | -$42,557 | -$38,857 | -$1,057 | +$2,801 | +$6,081 | +$4,024 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.4% | -46.4% | -50.5% | -42.7% | -40.7% | -41.7% | -35.3% | -28.1% | -25.6% | -0.7% | +1.8% | +4.0% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $132K | $131K | $128K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $180K | $192K | $207K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$132K to $180K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$128K to $207K
50.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring area | $154K | $156K | +0.8% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000303) | $126K | $147K | +16.3% | |
| Whiteville area | $139K | $151K | +9.0% | |
| Jefferson area | $124K | $135K | +8.4% | |
| Talladega area | $143K | $152K | +6.0% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001800) | $157K | $165K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring area | $154K | $156K | +0.8% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000303) | $126K | $147K | +16.3% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001402) | $99K | $114K | +15.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | +12.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001700) | $85K | $95K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring area | $154K | $156K | $79K | |
| Melton area | $65K | $66K | $39K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | $34K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001300) | $71K | $75K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jefferson, AR · ZIP 71603 · Census Tract 05069002103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$152K
Downside (P10)
$128K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$156K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$207K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $81K | $75K | $87K | $90K | $88K | $98K | $109K | $113K | $151K | $152K | $154K | $158K | $156K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$67,357 | -$70,357 | -$76,557 | -$64,757 | -$61,657 | -$63,157 | -$53,557 | -$42,557 | -$38,857 | -$1,057 | +$2,801 | +$6,081 | +$4,024 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.4% | -46.4% | -50.5% | -42.7% | -40.7% | -41.7% | -35.3% | -28.1% | -25.6% | -0.7% | +1.8% | +4.0% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $132K | $131K | $128K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $180K | $192K | $207K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$132K to $180K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$128K to $207K
50.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring area | $154K | $156K | +0.8% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000303) | $126K | $147K | +16.3% | |
| Whiteville area | $139K | $151K | +9.0% | |
| Jefferson area | $124K | $135K | +8.4% | |
| Talladega area | $143K | $152K | +6.0% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001800) | $157K | $165K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring area | $154K | $156K | +0.8% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 000303) | $126K | $147K | +16.3% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001402) | $99K | $114K | +15.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | +12.4% | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001700) | $85K | $95K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring area | $154K | $156K | $79K | |
| Melton area | $65K | $66K | $39K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001600) | $64K | $72K | $34K | |
| Pine Bluff (Tract 001300) | $71K | $75K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
